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你是不是有钱人,看这个指标就行

Don Reisinger 2018年07月16日

是否拥有苹果手机可作为一项指标,而且准确率达到了69.1%。

如果你想知道自己是不是大款,只需看看每天自己使用的科技便一清二楚。

芝加哥大学的经济学家最近与全美经济研究所发表了一篇论文,研究了过去几十年当中最显著的财富衡量指标。论文发现,在2016年(论文分析所涉及的最后一年),是否拥有苹果手机可作为一项指标,而且准确率达到了69.1%。

苹果的iPad也可以作为一项评判指标,其准确率为66.9%。紧随其后的是成为Verizon Wireless客户(61%),拥有安卓手机(59.5%)。

使用Kikkoman酱油是概率排名第五的评判指标(59%)。

除了产品之外,经济学家们发现(Business Insider此前曾报道过这些发现),在美国旅行时持有护照、车中装有蓝牙设备是高收入指标榜单上靠前的指标。此外,车中拥有加热座椅或使用洗碗机清洗剂也是有钱概率较高的指标。

这些发现揭示了这些年来财富指标所发生的明显变化。例如,在1992年,如果用得起Grey Poupon第戎芥茉酱或手头有现金,那么有62.2%的可能性是富人。2004年,如果你是美国乳业巨头蓝多湖公司的定期用户,那么你肯定是个富人。同年,如果你购买了一辆新车,你是富人的可能性高达73.6%。

研究中的另一个与科技相关的发现在于:如果在1992年拥有一台Sylvania电视机,有57.4%的概率可以肯定你是一名富人。(财富中文网)

译者:Pessy

审校:夏林

 

If you really want to know if you’re rich, look no further than the technology you’re using each day.

Economists at the University of Chicago recently published a paper (PDF) with the National Bureau of Economic Research that examined the best indicators of wealth over the last few decades. And it found that in 2016, the last year it analyzed, there was a 69.1% chance of accurately guessing that a person was wealthy if he or she owned an iPhone.

Apple’s iPad was a predictor in 66.9% of cases. It was followed by being a Verizon Wireless customer at 61% and owning an Android handset at 59.5%.

Using Kikkoman soy sauce was the fifth-most-likely indicator at 59%.

Aside from products, the economists, whose findings were earlier reported on by Business Insider, found that if traveling in the U.S., owning a passport, and having Bluetooth in your car were also high on the list of high-income indicators. Having a heated seat in your car or using dishwasher detergent were also good wealth indicators.

The findings show a distinct difference in wealth indicators over the years. For instance, in 1992, there was a 62.2% chance that if you were using Grey Poupon dijon mustard, you had some cash. In 2004, that was true if you wee a Land O’ Lakes Regular user. That same year, if you bought a new vehicle, there was a 73.6% chance you were wealthy.

One other tech-related takeaway from the study: Owning a Sylvania TV in 1992 meant there was a 57.4% chance of accurately identifying you as wealthy.

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